Professional summary

Dr Alison Kay is a senior mathematical modeller at UKCEH, with over 20 years research experience. Her work has focussed on the development of continuous simulation rainfall-runoff modelling techniques, using both catchment-based and national-scale grid-based hydrological models. A particular focus has been exploring the potential impacts of climate change on river flows, floods and droughts in the UK, including use of data from several generations of UK Climate Projections (2018 and 2009). Alison has published over 70 journal papers, written or contributed to over 50 commissioned research reports, and has an h-index of 31.

Selected publications

Kay Alison L. et al. , (2023), Spatial downscaling of precipitation for hydrological modelling: assessing a simple method and its application under climate change in Britain. Hydrological Processes, 37, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14823

Kay Alison L. et al. , (2023), The UKSCAPE-G2G river flow and soil moisture datasets: Grid-to-Grid model estimates for the UK for historical and potential future climates. Earth System Science Data Discussions, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-439

Kay Alison; , (2022), Differences in hydrological impacts using regional climate model and nested convection-permitting model data. Climatic Change, 173, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03405-z

Kay A.L. et al. , (2022), Grid-based simulation of soil moisture in the UK: future changes in extremes and wetting and drying dates. Environmental Research Letters, 17, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac7a4e

Kay A.L. et al. , (2021), Grid-based simulation of river flows in Northern Ireland: model performance and future flow changes. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 38, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100967

Lane Rosanna A. et al. , (2021), Climate change impact on the magnitude and timing of hydrological extremes across Great Britain. Frontiers in Water, 3, https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frwa.2021.684982/full

Kay A.L. et al. , (2021), Climate change effects on indicators of high and low river flow across Great Britain. Advances in Water Resources, 151, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103909

Arnell N.W. et al. , (2021), Changing climate risk in the UK: a multi-sectoral analysis using policy-relevant indicators. Climate Risk Management, 31, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100265

Kay A.L. et al. , (2021), Climate change impacts on peak river flows: combining national-scale hydrological modelling and probabilistic projections. Climate Risk Management, 31, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100263

Rudd Alison et al. , (2019), Investigating potential future changes in surface water flooding hazard and impact. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 21, https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2019/EGU2019-5780.pdf